MORNING · 2026-10-02

PACKET SHA-256 e39f4cb05cd5c8d7bac73e383a94560ef4d1781f0c53910ad4270a6263940c41

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 200,163 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 427 gradeable · cut $2,381 · toss-up score 23.7 of 25 possible · rotation offset 16 · slate claim af3eae4a9d381d82…

CARD QUALITY — 22 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 3 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.95/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2NO CALL

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 4?NO

Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?YES

Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?YES

Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?NO

Will Claude Villeneuve win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?NO

Will "Digger" score at least 53 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?NO

Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?NO

Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?YES

Will Gustavo Gayer win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?YES

Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?NO

Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in September?NO

Will Ferro Carril Oeste win on 2026-10-03?NO

Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?NO

Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?NO

Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?YES

Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?YES

Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?NO

Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?YES

Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?NO

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?NO

Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?YES

Will the Parti Québécois win by between 30 and 39 seats?UNANIMOUS NO