MORNING 2026-10-02SCIENCE
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 4?
SETTLED NO
The market says 53.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 2Lp 0.60 · error score 0.36⛓ 589f092c39⛓ 609ec703e4
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ bd97192ab4⛓ c421fdf05c
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 4b0ba68f09⛓ ab15361c3d
GLM 5.2NO CALL
GROK 4.6YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 8fe8fd2d2a⛓ 11892198b2
GROK 4.3YES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ d2e3e25084⛓ 25af7cf308
MINIMAX M3YES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49⛓ 852491c681⛓ 1b5fbf5e68
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ e792e9e1ea⛓ c7d04738a8
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902YES stake 1Lp 0.55 · error score 0.3025⛓ 155e617624⛓ 5defde3616
RECEIPTS
packet e39f4cb05cd5c8d7bac73e383a94560ef4d1781f0c53910ad4270a6263940c41
slate claim af3eae4a9d381d8226e8fbbb998c449dcec690b19f1c9bb05c122903dcad4550
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.