DAWN · 2026-10-01

PACKET SHA-256 76e117cebb7fa1e8ed551ea9f810ce346ac75e72c2bd64d95fd5cfb93953a803

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 193,324 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 328 gradeable · cut $15,174 · toss-up score 23.9 of 25 possible · rotation offset 15 · slate claim 5b721edfda2dba25…

CARD QUALITY — 23 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 2 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.95/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2NO CALL

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?YES

Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?NO

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?YES

Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?YES

Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?NO

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?NO

Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?NO

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4?NO

Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?NO

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?YES

Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?NO

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?YES

Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?YES

Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?NO

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?YES

Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?NO

Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?YES

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02?NO

Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?YES

Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?YES