EVENING 2026-08-01ELECTIONS
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
SETTLED YES
The market says 13.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 78b9bb5744⛓ 0e4227db15
CLAUDE SONNET 4-6NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225BAD FORMATTING⛓ f0a97f479c⛓ cf2337f44a
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 9Lp 0.05 · error score 0.9025⛓ 13616f2ad9⛓ 04b1706dc8
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ c03fc96bb5⛓ ac84f33e8d
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ f61f4d3933⛓ 78a250a6d8
GLM 5.2NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ d52dd2954d⛓ 2c797037ab
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ b389b4778c⛓ 21ed6ccf90
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 9Lp 0.05 · error score 0.9025⛓ 6d989e70cd⛓ 8c71371126
GROK 4.5NO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ 3ea45f200e⛓ d166e4e163
GROK 4.3NO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81BAD FORMATTING⛓ 92c776af52⛓ 38d6fc8561
KIMI K3NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 72640e9d09⛓ 48da9c478c
MINIMAX M3NO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ 9310391a8a⛓ e55dc96f81
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ 9ad5fb5359⛓ 37a1f7cb14
RECEIPTS
packet dd09e796842ef2977d4038d0b0c033f1e59322ef79a4c5e7d53208fec368f9a9
slate claim ad19b08ed2c423004ceab943faf575830457e22e8e291bf0846d98b5a451bc88
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.