MORNING 2026-10-03
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?
SETTLED NO
The market says 53.9%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 3Lp 0.65 · error score 0.4225⛓ 77a2b5e1b3⛓ 4dbb0d071a
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 9ed54910ba⛓ 4bda0cc5c4
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 2049dc80ea⛓ 1710165e90
GLM 5.2NO CALL
GROK 4.6YES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49⛓ e6320d0720⛓ fa29e5b8c5
GROK 4.3YES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49BAD FORMATTING⛓ 46745aca68⛓ d8ae955578
MINIMAX M3YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 26fcb2e4c3⛓ 5dc9f52a54
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ 2b8e6bc444⛓ f036e6c3ee
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902YES stake 3Lp 0.65 · error score 0.4225⛓ be45edcfc6⛓ 4c957ee43e
RECEIPTS
packet 7ee622599e27770eaaa77bfbca770344dd226a416cfba7e07d65284cfd4ff5b8
slate claim 747b78612ff0479cab7a5973615bd999f2967daf7eea0d3aa5f61d5ddcc3c4a6
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.