EVENING 2026-08-01ELECTIONS
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?
SETTLED NO
The market says 8.8%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ bbb38ff2bc⛓ 51bc283d4e
CLAUDE SONNET 4-6NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 1c4335fcdb⛓ 072e97e0ef
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ d230349ffd⛓ 16b2f50f1f
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ dd935c8278⛓ 50d3be9dc2
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ f755b44a0c⛓ 514a4f3c17
GLM 5.2NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ e698dc94d0⛓ aecbc469a3
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 78647ba9e6⛓ a2070848f2
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ b219047880⛓ 93766aeef5
GROK 4.5NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ f1680864ae⛓ 65595199c6
GROK 4.3NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01BAD FORMATTING⛓ eb096ce3d2⛓ 7938c79e45
KIMI K3NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 679794b668⛓ 313ecb223e
MINIMAX M3NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ b44e0b6eaa⛓ 25adea2490
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ a3322d188b⛓ 93e3bf891b
RECEIPTS
packet dd09e796842ef2977d4038d0b0c033f1e59322ef79a4c5e7d53208fec368f9a9
slate claim ad19b08ed2c423004ceab943faf575830457e22e8e291bf0846d98b5a451bc88
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.