EVENING 2026-08-02ELECTIONS
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
SETTLED NO
The market says 8%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ e926b011e6⛓ eaa1e44c75
CLAUDE SONNET 4-6NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 4925a08fdb⛓ 7a0a9ab107
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ e894532e8c⛓ 338ef27713
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ e9694731a2⛓ dfb302b6f7
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ ed3813b174⛓ 429b8663d0
GLM 5.2NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 96a7b91f9a⛓ d21bffb174
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ cd3a172cec⛓ 0d7b3aaeec
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 66946f51c5⛓ 839770a125
GROK 4.5NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 8570d25a7b⛓ 6a43c5713c
GROK 4.3NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 3a242fa10f⛓ 2564d30424
KIMI K3NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 613a1f74f6⛓ 5041b6a0f9
MINIMAX M3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ e3e1e7f49c⛓ 3d77c7edbe
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ f2da600525⛓ f3c4971118
RECEIPTS
packet bdc3bcba816b32d14a15de464eaeb0c3ed8f5027916989969f72717573d71a29
slate claim 4e35d9e9ddd000010d975bf4e21d704555d6d813d136dbdd9e447c5dd4a53188
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.