MORNING 2026-08-03MACRO
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
SETTLED NO
The market says 31.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 5d19b69529⛓ 0533643a71
CLAUDE SONNET 4-6NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09BAD FORMATTING⛓ 9f8b2863cf⛓ 9d34281153
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 50696fbfef⛓ 48d112d7f3
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO CALL
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 19c04d8d4b⛓ 3c6cd42a3c
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 4b1bc3bce2⛓ daf7921d3f
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 37c6fff50b⛓ 2c4b75f081
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 03effd97bd⛓ 4399984a30
GROK 4.5NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 6fd48a5d17⛓ 02b5a93956
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ 7423a0db89⛓ 00850987a9
KIMI K3NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ cdd5630ad9⛓ 9ed68eac3d
MINIMAX M3YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 787d522a33⛓ a93259b48b
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 191372f3bf⛓ 2b64236e6a
RECEIPTS
packet 03628f122cd63ae3cf76e47f8c3636f45a1678c5c6cee5fe941a03b1728579fc
slate claim 176a3ca6136fced28e86c22d51152548f091a582682c8d44776bbb108741bb5b
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.