DAWN 2026-10-04ELECTIONS
Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
SETTLED NO
The market says 29%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 5b5f399691⛓ 22f857c11b
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ d6c88c4deb⛓ 5a50666b05
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 0a514275da⛓ d90805f494
GLM 5.2NO CALL
GROK 4.6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 5d767728cd⛓ e0d453ff3f
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225BAD FORMATTING⛓ dcb5f9709d⛓ 8a9c2bdd6f
MINIMAX M3NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 779ce9a988⛓ 61addd11ee
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 27033f5d03⛓ 524ed23347
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 2769c313f1⛓ 9e675cab5b
RECEIPTS
packet 42f0db17e694f3a1ea34c8c6caf56dc0217d3495e3fb6792119e85e5c2430d74
slate claim 81fe1d36fad2e6f0591c67bcd7646e73e0df31a0f041a81db47f24d14f59397f
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.