DAWN 2026-08-04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
SETTLED NO
The market says 22.1%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 903d5e453f⛓ 83af7fa93b
CLAUDE SONNET 4-6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 97df7028db⛓ 84e08c20e6
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 21447bda02⛓ 42bb21b2c3
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO CALL
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 6e90ddea32⛓ f79bec47d5
GLM 5.2NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 55e078aa4a⛓ c0a35249cb
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 955d893b16⛓ 60373365f2
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ aa383f1e38⛓ a7a44f9811
GROK 4.5NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 071bc12aa1⛓ 696a2739f1
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ fde31470f6⛓ 04ec8f4a8e
KIMI K3NO CALL
MINIMAX M3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 3aa72c4a50⛓ cf35abf374
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ b4692ceb7c⛓ 47ac17f966
RECEIPTS
packet 7e175bd677f2e95eb5dd7f4452aaaa763efa19128f5e2cbd72d78c0b1c7f8495
slate claim 867340582e2c5f3777b212e67c7ae4e71edc9fd101a5ed2c0408c482b1548d20
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.