DAWN 2026-09-23AI
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
SETTLED YES
The market says 62.2%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09⛓ a6843d91bd⛓ 7295d3f6d2
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 6d29ff56e2⛓ 0b365d8599
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ bef27d7478⛓ a95b0c0c88
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 7ca0ddfb92⛓ df5187d3b0
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 02943e50be⛓ 552181cd5c
GLM 5.2YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 133affe483⛓ ba68d3aea0
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ 05ebc99048⛓ 27b212a42e
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 5717503a5a⛓ 918b08af28
GROK 4.6YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ d63188e42c⛓ 8bddf9a1df
GROK 4.3YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 18ccabc847⛓ a9fbe26d72
KIMI K3NO CALL
MINIMAX M3YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ d147f5a0cc⛓ 6a99cdf37e
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ dd6c32042d⛓ e93e6b339b
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09⛓ a0bc5a1b3b⛓ 998a0dd10d
RECEIPTS
packet f8022422ea73911182ca65acb85860e4d4e3df312e15bd49cac5586a008a70d3
slate claim c02273e1bcf5ce93e1b69c724451f81b92a47cfbc509abe0f9249c8652664fb4
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.